Stocks for hold Long After The Market Peak

Stocks Investment - Interestingly, the model of sector sequence over a cycle defined similarly by John Murphy and Sam Stovall says that one can often identify a very late moment in the cycle by the fact that energy and consumer staples are the leading sectors. I happen to be long and overweight several of the above, but the real message is that when the above stocks start to pull ground on the larger set you should probably sell everything down to your minimal equity allocation.

• Quality of investment stocks: Earnings growth and stability resulting in a S&P Quality Ranking of A or better
• Stability investment: Price volatility that ranks in the lowest quin tile of the S&P 500
• Performance investment portfolio: Ability to post gains long after the market peaks during the bear markets from 2000 to 2002 and from 2007 to 2009
• Income investment portfolio: Consistent annual dividend growth over the past decade

Stock market S&P 500 Record High Sustainable - comments and opinions and bubble periods

S&P 500 Record High Sustainable  - comments and opinions

Market Trends

I am reading an very informative coverage of the periods of 1965 through 2000,"The boom and the bubble". it covers all the expansions and contractions we, japan, Germany, the em, and other have had. not relating it so much to the stock market cycles. putting in ones own picture of the markets through these periods where we had big bull movements it is hard to relate the markets ups for long stretches to any group of happenings. sure, the fed acted and the markets reacted but to relate fundamental to long market trends was hard to bring into the equation. most of the moves up were related to PE expansions and contractions of their own trends. in fact the bubble periods of 97 through 2001 was particularly interesting. after all the crisis of lTCM, the Russian default, the em defaults, japan in trouble, we had many years where the profits of the SP 500 were going down. the market saw fit to ignore this for 3 years until after 2000 when the tech bubble went bad. then everything changed. stocks became poison.

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